But here’s the twist: for India, the real risk isn’t the money. It’s the Chabahar Port. That’s where India’s long-term Afghan and Central Asia strategy is anchored. If U.S. sanctions freeze payments or scare off banks, India’s most vital geopolitical project could stall; not because of war, but because of paperwork. Farmers exporting rice or pharma may lose a small market, sure. But losing Chabahar? That’s a strategic setback no tariff can measure.